Will your car pass its next MOT?

Enter a registration to see how likely the car is to fail its next MOT & a risk rating compared to other cars of the same age. The estimate comes from a model trained on the MOT history of over 90,000 cars and vans.

What this can and can't tell you

The result compares this car with others of the same age. Even a higher-risk car usually passes: across the test data, about 43% of higher-risk cars failed, against about 20% of lower-risk cars.
It's based on the car's MOT history: past fails, advisories, mileage, age and make. Faults that appear suddenly, like a blown bulb or a damaged tyre, can't be predicted from history.
For a car's first MOT there's no history, so the estimate rests on its age and make alone.
Differences between makes partly reflect how cars are looked after, not just how they're built.
Cars and light vans only. Motorcycles aren't covered.

This is an estimate for interest, not advice. It doesn't replace a check by a mechanic. How the model was built and tested is on the failure model page.